USA 2012 Scores, Videos and Numerically Determined Teams
UPDATED WITH US NATIONALS SCORES
The US team is deeper than ever this year, and it will be very interesting to see who ends up going to London for the Olympics. There have been three international events that Team USA has competed at this year, The American Cup, Pacific Rim and Jesolo. Next up are the Classic, Nationals and Trials, at which the team will be determined.
This page shows a) all of the scores of the US olympic trials qualifier from 2012, b) their high, low and average scores, c) their highest difficulty scores and d) in all scenarios, the best combination of the scores for 3 up-3 count. I will try to keep it updated until the second day of trials, when my speculation becomes completely pointless.
USA 2012 Scores and Video Links
|Kennedy Baker||Nationals 2||14.800||14.750||12.850||14.000||56.400|
|Rebecca Bross||Nationals 2||15.200||13.700||28.900|
|Gabrielle Douglas||Nationals 2||15.800||15.850||14.100||15.300||61.050|
|Pac Rim AA||13.950||15.500||13.150||42.600|
|Pac Rim EF||15.150||15.150|
|Brenna Dowell||Nationals 2||14.700||13.950||13.900||14.350||56.900|
|Sarah Finnegan||Nationals 2||14.900||13.350||15.050||15.150||58.450|
|Anna Li||Nationals 2||15.550||13.650||29.200|
|Nastia Liukin||Nationals 2||13.650||14.100||27.750|
|McKayla Maroney||Nationals 1||16.150||13.400||14.550||14.600||58.700|
|Elizabeth Price||Nationals 2||15.600||14.250||13.850||14.800||58.500|
|Alexandra Raisman||Nationals 2||15.300||14.200||15.450||15.800||60.750|
|Kyla Ross||Nationals 2||15.250||15.350||15.000||14.600||60.200|
|Pac Rim AA||14.850||15.250||15.000||14.100||59.200|
|Pac Rim EF||15.050||15.375||14.375||44.800|
|Alicia Sacramone||Nationals 2||15.500||15.100||30.600|
|Bridget Sloan||Nationals 2||14.150||14.950||13.150||13.900||56.150|
|Sabrina Vega||Nationals 2||14.500||14.400||14.400||14.650||57.950|
|Jordyn Wieber||Nationals 2||15.900||15.050||15.050||15.250||61.250|
|Pac Rim AA||15.700||15.000||15.700||14.650||61.050|
|Pac Rim EF||13.700||15.125||28.825|
Highest Scoring Team- High Scores
Previous team (prior to US Nationals): Gabrielle Douglas, Sarah Finnegan, Alexandra Raisman, Kyla Ross and Jordyn Wieber
Previous team (prior to US Classic): Jordyn Wieber, Kyla Ross, Alexandra Raisman, Gabrielle Douglas and McKayla Maroney
Highest Scoring Team- Average Scores
This team has not changed since Jesolo, Pac Rim and the American Cup.
Highest Scoring Team- Low Scores
Previous team (prior to US Nationals): Sarah Finnegan, Gabrielle Douglas, McKayla Maroney, Alexandra Raisman and Kyla Ross
Previous team (prior to US Classic): Sarah Finnegan, McKayla Maroney, Alexandra Raisman, Kyla Ross and Jordyn Wieber
Highest Scoring Team- Difficulty Scores
Previous Teams (prior to US Nationals): Rebecca Bross (or Anna Li), Gabrielle Douglas, Sarah Finnegan, Alexandra Raisman and Jordyn Wieber or Kyla Ross
Previous team (prior to US Classic): Jordyn Wieber, Kyla Ross, Alexandra Raisman, Sarah Finnegan and Gabrielle Douglas
Some Thoughts (4/1/12)
- Jordyn Wieber, Kyla Ross and Alexandra Raisman made all four teams
- Wieber, Ross, Raisman and Douglas are the only gymnasts to have more than one assignment, so they are the only gymnasts who really have high, average and low scores.
- The top three on each event made the first team
- The last spot on the second team was determined between Sarah Finnegan and McKayla Maroney, who both had one top three finish. Maroney ended up contributing more. Additionally, I believe that Maroney is far more likely to have an average score of 16 on vault than Finnegan is to have an average score of 15 on beam at the end of the classics, nationals and trials.
- Gabrielle Douglas had two first place finishes with her lowest scores (bars, which she has competed three times and floor, which she has only competed once), but deleting her scores lead to a higher team total than deleting Finnegan’s scores. This is probably because Douglas, Wieber and Maroney all have sub-14 lows on beam.
- I would never actually use Sarah Finnegan on beam in team finals ahead of Jordyn Wieber unless Wieber has multiple falls at classics, nationals and trials.
- The team using all of the gymnast’s LOW scores has a higher score than the US world team did last year in team finals. Of course, this is the best of the low scores, so these are routines with no falls.
- Maroney did not make the last team because 7 girls have the 6.5 Amanar, but I still believe that she is the only one who can consistently get a 16+ for it, kind of like how Zamarripa goes 9.9 for a bad vault.
- Ross’ start values don’t really stand out, especially on beam, but her execution gets her onto the team.
- National team members who have yet to compete, and if applicable, where they could possibly be useful: Bridgette Caquatto (UB), Mackenzie Caquatto (UB), Jessie DeZiel, Brandie Jay, Amanda Jetter, Shawn Johnson (Maybe any event, unsure), Anna Li (UB), Nastia Liukin (UB/BB), Grace McLaughlin, Chellsie Memmel (UB/BB), Hallie Mossett, Alicia Sacramone (VT/BB/FX), Bridget Sloan (maybe UB/FX?), Sabrina Vega (anywhere but vault as a back-up), McKenzie Wofford (theoretically UB/BB), Kennedy Baker (maybe UB/BB) and Kiana Winston.
More Thoughts (6/4/12)
- Kyla Ross, Gabrielle Douglas and Alexandra Raisman each made all of the teams. Jordyn Wieber made all of the teams except for the team with low scores. Sarah Finnegan made all of the teams except for the team using average scores. McKayla Maroney two teams, average scores and low scores. Rebecca Bross made only the team for difficulty scores.
- I’ll go out on a limb and say that unless there are drastic changes from now until trials, we will probably see Ross, Douglas, Raisman and Wieber at the Olympics. The question really is if Marta is willing to use Wieber on bars in team finals. At this point, she has the third highest average, so despite all of her mistakes, it’s not like she’s a gigantic risk.
- Gabrielle Douglas is likely to fill the third spot on floor in team finals if Finnegan isn’t on the team. In fact, after bars, I’d say that floor is the most likely event that we will see her on in team finals.
- Kyla Ross has a great shot at making the team, but it is looking like she will only be contributing on bars and beam in team finals, unless she can learn to land an Amanar without flying off the mat. Prelims placements will depend on who else makes the team.
- Rebecca Bross doesn’t have a great shot. She can’t hit beam, is 50/50 on bars in major meets this year, and when she hits bars, she’s scoring lower than Ross and Douglas.
- Liukin needs bars to make the team, but everyone except for Tim Dagget already knew that.
- Alicia Sacramone and Bridget Sloan have yet to compete.
- Wieber will be on this team despite not making the low score team. She has one fall on beam, but she has competed it more than anyone else who was put in a beam lineup, with the exception of Kyla Ross.
- Sarah Finnegan is the wild card. I’d really love to see her in London, despite the inexperience. Let’s see if she competes the Amanar next week.
- I won’t be able to update this after day 1 of trials because I won’t have a computer, so this really is it! Look for a few tweets after day 1, at the most. There might be nothing.
- This time we have Jordyn Wieber, Gabrielle Douglas and Alexandra Raisman on all four teams. Surprise, surprise! Kyla Ross is on all of the teams that factor in execution, which is a pretty important. Anna Li is on the two teams that her inconsistency prior to nationals don’t effect. McKayla Maroney only made one of these teams, but it’s the most important one. Alicia Sacramone made the low scores team, but she hasn’t had as many competitions as the other girls. Sarah Finnegan took Kyla Ross’s spot on the difficulty scores team, but is looking like a longshot to make it to London.
- I’d say our locks are Wieber, Douglas and Raisman. Ross too, probably. I don’t see anyone else stepping up for bars/beam at this point.
- Maroney probably gets the 5th spot, but it gets tricky if she is not fully recovered. I can see either Li or one of the alternates listed below taking her place.
- My team at the moment is Wieber, Douglas, Raisman, Ross and Maroney. My alternates are three of Price, Sacramone, Sloan and Finnegan.
- A different girl tops the all around ranking with high, low and average scores, and it is exactly who you would expect. Douglas has the highest high along with the highest difficulty, closely followed by Wieber, who has the highest averages. Aly “I haven’t fallen this year” Raisman has the highest low scores.
- Looking at the high scores, there are two 62s and two 61s. That’s a very impressive statistic.
There is a chance that there is a mistake or two in the highest scoring teams. I did not actually add up scores for every single combination, which would have taken forever, I found all of the gymnasts with top 3 scores, then deleted one name at a time to see whose scores were the least necessary. If you find a flaw here, please feel free to let me know.