USA 2012 Scores, Videos and Numerically Determined Teams

UPDATED WITH US NATIONALS SCORES

The US team is deeper than ever this year, and it will be very interesting to see who ends up going to London for the Olympics. There have been three international events that Team USA has competed at this year, The American Cup, Pacific Rim and Jesolo. Next up are the Classic, Nationals and Trials, at which the team will be determined.

This page shows a) all of the scores of the US olympic trials qualifier from 2012, b) their high, low and average scores, c) their highest difficulty scores and d) in all scenarios, the best combination of the scores for 3 up-3 count. I will try to keep it updated until the second day of trials, when my speculation becomes completely pointless.

USA 2012 Scores and Video Links

Name	Competition	Vault	Bars	Beam	Floor	All Around
Kennedy Baker	Nationals 2	14.800	14.750	12.850	14.000	56.400
	Nationals 1	14.650	14.850	14.150	14.400	58.050
	Classics	13.900	14.600	14.350	13.950	56.800
	Am. Classic	14.750	13.250	13.900	14.300	56.200
Rebecca Bross	Nationals 2		15.200	13.700		28.900
	Nationals 1		15.200	13.550		28.750
	Classics		15.300	13.200		28.500
	Jesolo		13.950	14.150		28.100
Gabrielle Douglas	Nationals 2	15.800	15.850	14.100	15.300	61.050
	Nationals 1	15.350	15.450	14.800	15.050	60.650
	Classics		15.700	14.400	14.850	44.950
	American Cup	15.866	15.633	15.100	14.700	61.299
	Pac Rim AA	13.950	15.500	13.150		42.600
	Pac Rim EF		15.150			15.150
Brenna Dowell	Nationals 2	14.700	13.950	13.900	14.350	56.900
	Nationals 1	14.250	14.100	13.700	13.650	55.700
	Jesolo	14.650	14.600	13.800	13.600	56.650
Sarah Finnegan	Nationals 2	14.900	13.350	15.050	15.150	58.450
	Nationals 1	15.000	14.000	15.350	14.800	59.150
	Classics		14.100	14.900	15.200	44.200
	Jesolo	14.900	14.150	15.000	14.600	58.650
Anna Li	Nationals 2		15.550	13.650		29.200
	Nationals 1		15.150	11.950		27.100
	Classics	13.600	14.150	13.900	11.850	53.500
Nastia Liukin	Nationals 2		13.650	14.100		27.750
	Nationals 1		13.150	15.100		28.250
	Classics			14.900		14.900
McKayla Maroney	Nationals 1	16.150	13.400	14.550	14.600	58.700
	Classics	16.100		13.800		29.900
	Jesolo	16.000	13.950	14.050	13.950	57.950
Elizabeth Price	Nationals 2	15.600	14.250	13.850	14.800	58.500
	Nationals 1	15.800	14.950	14.300	14.550	59.600
	Classics	15.650	14.800	12.250	12.750	55.450
	Jesolo	15.700	14.150	12.700	14.300	56.850
Alexandra Raisman	Nationals 2	15.300	14.200	15.450	15.800	60.750
	Nationals 1	15.450	14.100	15.200	15.450	60.200
	Classics	15.650	14.350	15.000	15.350	60.350
	Jesolo	15.400	14.450	14.550	14.650	59.050
	American Cup	16.100	14.333	14.966	15.433	60.832
Kyla Ross	Nationals 2	15.250	15.350	15.000	14.600	60.200
	Nationals 1	15.100	15.500	15.100	14.050	59.750
	Classics	15.300	15.450	14.700	14.350	59.800
	Jesolo	15.550	15.050	15.500	13.750	59.850
	Pac Rim AA	14.850	15.250	15.000	14.100	59.200
	Pac Rim EF		15.050	15.375	14.375	44.800
Alicia Sacramone	Nationals 2	15.500		15.100		30.600
	Nationals 1	15.450		15.200		30.650
Bridget Sloan	Nationals 2	14.150	14.950	13.150	13.900	56.150
	Nationals 1	13.850	15.100	13.850	13.450	56.250
Sabrina Vega	Nationals 2	14.500	14.400	14.400	14.650	57.950
	Nationals 1	14.100	14.250	14.200	13.950	56.500
	Classics	14.100	14.000	13.450	14.850	56.400
Jordyn Wieber	Nationals 2	15.900	15.050	15.050	15.250	61.250
	Nationals 1	15.650	15.050	14.700	15.250	60.650
	Classics		14.250	15.000		29.250
	American Cup	16.100	14.833	14.966	15.133	61.032
	Pac Rim AA	15.700	15.000	15.700	14.650	61.050
	Pac Rim EF			13.700	15.125	28.825

High Scores

Name	Vault	Bars	Beam	Floor	All Around
Kennedy Baker	14.800	14.850	14.350	14.400	58.400
Rebecca Bross		15.300	14.150		29.450
Gabrielle Douglas	15.866	15.850	15.100	15.300	62.116
Brenna Dowell	14.700	14.600	13.900	14.350	57.550
Sarah Finnegan	15.000	14.150	15.350	15.200	59.700
Anna Li	13.600	15.550	13.900	11.850	54.900
Nastia Liukin		13.650	15.100		28.750
McKayla Maroney	16.150	13.950	14.550	14.600	59.250
Elizabeth Price	15.800	14.950	14.300	14.800	59.850
Alexandra Raisman	16.100	14.450	15.450	15.800	61.800
Kyla Ross	15.550	15.500	15.500	14.600	61.150
Alicia Sacramone	15.500		15.200		30.700
Bridget Sloan	14.150	15.100	13.850	13.900	57.000
Sabrina Vega	14.500	14.400	14.400	14.850	58.150
Jordyn Wieber	16.100	15.050	15.700	15.250	62.100

Highest Scoring Team- High Scores

Name	Vault	Bars	Beam	Floor	Total
Gabrielle Douglas	15.866	15.850		15.300	47.016
Anna Li		15.550			15.550
Alexandra Raisman	16.100		15.450	15.800	47.350
Kyla Ross		15.500	15.500		31.000
Jordyn Wieber	16.100		15.700	15.250	47.050
Total	48.066	46.900	46.650	46.350	187.966

Previous team (prior to US Nationals): Gabrielle Douglas, Sarah Finnegan, Alexandra Raisman, Kyla Ross and Jordyn Wieber

Previous team (prior to US Classic): Jordyn Wieber, Kyla Ross, Alexandra Raisman, Gabrielle Douglas and McKayla Maroney

Average Scores

Name	Vault	Bars	Beam	Floor	All Around
Kennedy Baker	14.525	14.363	13.813	14.163	56.863
Rebecca Bross		14.913	13.650		28.563
Gabrielle Douglas	15.242	15.547	14.310	14.975	60.074
Brenna Dowell	14.533	14.217	13.800	13.867	56.417
Sarah Finnegan	14.933	13.900	15.075	14.938	58.846
Anna Li	13.600	14.950	13.167	11.850	53.567
Nastia Liukin		13.400	14.700		28.100
McKayla Maroney	16.083	13.675	14.133	14.275	58.167
Elizabeth Price	15.688	14.538	13.275	14.100	57.600
Alexandra Raisman	15.580	14.287	15.033	15.337	60.236
Kyla Ross	15.210	15.275	15.113	14.204	59.802
Alicia Sacramone	15.475		15.150		30.625
Bridget Sloan	14.000	15.025	13.500	13.675	56.200
Sabrina Vega	14.233	14.217	14.017	14.483	56.950
Jordyn Wieber	15.838	14.837	14.853	15.082	60.608

Highest Scoring Team- Average Scores

Name	Vault	Bars	Beam	Floor	Total
Jordyn Wieber	15.838	14.837	14.853	15.082	60.608
Gabrielle Douglas		15.547		14.975	30.522
Kyla Ross		15.275	15.113		30.388
McKayla Maroney	16.083				16.083
Alexandra Raisman	15.580		15.033	15.337	45.950
	47.501	45.659	44.998	45.393	183.551

This team has not changed since Jesolo, Pac Rim and the American Cup.

Low Scores

Name	Vault	Bars	Beam	Floor	All Around
Kennedy Baker	13.900	13.250	12.850	13.950	53.950
Rebecca Bross		13.950	13.200		27.150
Gabrielle Douglas	13.950	15.150	13.150	14.700	56.950
Brenna Dowell	14.250	13.950	13.700	13.600	55.500
Sarah Finnegan	14.900	13.350	14.900	14.600	57.750
Anna Li	13.600	14.150	11.950	11.850	51.550
Nastia Liukin		13.150	14.100		27.250
McKayla Maroney	16.000	13.400	13.800	13.950	57.150
Elizabeth Price	15.600	14.150	12.250	12.750	54.750
Alexandra Raisman	15.300	14.100	14.550	14.650	58.600
Kyla Ross	14.850	15.050	14.700	13.750	58.350
Alicia Sacramone	15.450		15.100		30.550
Bridget Sloan	13.850	14.950	13.150	13.450	55.400
Sabrina Vega	14.100	14.000	13.450	13.950	55.500
Jordyn Wieber	15.650	14.250	13.700	14.650	58.250

Highest Scoring Team- Low Scores

Name	Vault	Bars	Beam	Floor	Total
Jordyn Wieber	15.650	14.250		14.650	44.550
Gabrielle Douglas		15.150		14.700	29.850
Kyla Ross		15.050	14.700		29.750
Alexandra Raisman	15.300		14.550	14.650	44.500
Alicia Sacramone	15.450		15.100		30.550
	46.400	44.450	44.350	44.000	179.200

Previous team (prior to US Nationals): Sarah Finnegan, Gabrielle Douglas, McKayla Maroney, Alexandra Raisman and Kyla Ross

Previous team (prior to US Classic): Sarah Finnegan, McKayla Maroney, Alexandra Raisman, Kyla Ross and Jordyn Wieber

Difficulty Scores

Name	Vault	Bars	Beam	Floor	All Around
Rebecca Bross		6.5	6.4		12.9
Gabrielle Douglas	6.5	6.6	6.5	6.1	25.7
Brenna Dowell	5.8	5.9	5.8	5.8	23.3
Sarah Finnegan	5.8	5.8	6.9	6.3	24.8
McKayla Maroney	6.5	5.8	5.9	6	24.2
Elizabeth Price	6.5	6.2	5.8	6	24.5
Alexandra Raisman	6.5	5.9	6.5	6.5	25.4
Kyla Ross	6.5	6.4	6.2	5.6	24.7
Jordyn Wieber	6.5	6.3	6.4	6.1	25.3
Kennedy Baker	5.8	6.4	6	5.9	24.1
Sabrina Vega	5.3	5.9	6	6	23.2
Anna Li	5	6.9	5.6	4.4	21.9
Nastia Liukin		5.8	6.1		11.9
Bridget Sloan	5	6.4	5.8	5.6	22.8
Alicia Sacramone	6.3		6.2		12.5

Highest Scoring Team- Difficulty Scores

Name	Vault	Bars	Beam	Floot	All Around
Gabrielle Douglas	6.5	6.6	6.5		19.6
Sarah Finnegan			6.9	6.3	13.2
Alexandra Raisman	6.5		6.5	6.5	19.5
Jordyn Wieber	6.5	6.3		6.1	18.9
Anna Li		6.9			6.9
Total	19.5	19.8	19.9	18.9	78.1

Previous Teams (prior to US Nationals): Rebecca Bross (or Anna Li), Gabrielle Douglas, Sarah Finnegan, Alexandra Raisman and Jordyn Wieber or Kyla Ross

Previous team (prior to US Classic): Jordyn Wieber, Kyla Ross, Alexandra Raisman, Sarah Finnegan and Gabrielle Douglas

Some Thoughts (4/1/12)

• Jordyn Wieber, Kyla Ross and Alexandra Raisman made all four teams
• Wieber, Ross, Raisman and Douglas are the only gymnasts to have more than one assignment, so they are the only gymnasts who really have high, average and low scores.
• The top three on each event made the first team
• The last spot on the second team was determined between Sarah Finnegan and McKayla Maroney, who both had one top three finish. Maroney ended up contributing more. Additionally, I believe that Maroney is far more likely to have an average score of 16 on vault than Finnegan is to have an average score of 15 on beam at the end of the classics, nationals and trials.
• Gabrielle Douglas had two first place finishes with her lowest scores (bars, which she has competed three times and floor, which she has only competed once), but deleting her scores lead to a higher team total than deleting Finnegan’s scores. This is probably because Douglas, Wieber and Maroney all have sub-14 lows on beam.
• I would never actually use Sarah Finnegan on beam in team finals ahead of Jordyn Wieber unless Wieber has multiple falls at classics, nationals and trials.
• The team using all of the gymnast’s LOW scores has a higher score than the US world team did last year in team finals. Of course, this is the best of the low scores, so these are routines with no falls.
• Maroney did not make the last team because 7 girls have the 6.5 Amanar, but I still believe that she is the only one who can consistently get a 16+ for it, kind of like how Zamarripa goes 9.9 for a bad vault.
• Ross’ start values don’t really stand out, especially on beam, but her execution gets her onto the team.
• National team members who have yet to compete, and if applicable, where they could possibly be useful: Bridgette Caquatto (UB), Mackenzie Caquatto (UB), Jessie DeZiel, Brandie Jay, Amanda Jetter, Shawn Johnson (Maybe any event, unsure), Anna Li (UB), Nastia Liukin (UB/BB), Grace McLaughlin, Chellsie Memmel (UB/BB), Hallie Mossett, Alicia Sacramone (VT/BB/FX), Bridget Sloan (maybe UB/FX?), Sabrina Vega (anywhere but vault as a back-up), McKenzie Wofford (theoretically UB/BB), Kennedy Baker (maybe UB/BB) and Kiana Winston.

More Thoughts (6/4/12)

• Kyla Ross, Gabrielle Douglas and Alexandra Raisman each made all of the teams. Jordyn Wieber made all of the teams except for the team with low scores. Sarah Finnegan made all of the teams except for the team using average scores. McKayla Maroney two teams, average scores and low scores. Rebecca Bross made only the team for difficulty scores.
• I’ll go out on a limb and say that unless there are drastic changes from now until trials, we will probably see Ross, Douglas, Raisman and Wieber at the Olympics. The question really is if Marta is willing to use Wieber on bars in team finals. At this point, she has the third highest average, so despite all of her mistakes, it’s not like she’s a gigantic risk.
• Gabrielle Douglas is likely to fill the third spot on floor in team finals if Finnegan isn’t on the team. In fact, after bars, I’d say that floor is the most likely event that we will see her on in team finals.
• Kyla Ross has a great shot at making the team, but it is looking like she will only be contributing on bars and beam in team finals, unless she can learn to land an Amanar without flying off the mat. Prelims placements will depend on who else makes the team.
• Rebecca Bross doesn’t have a great shot. She can’t hit beam, is 50/50 on bars in major meets this year, and when she hits bars, she’s scoring lower than Ross and Douglas.
• Liukin needs bars to make the team, but everyone except for Tim Dagget already knew that.
• Alicia Sacramone and Bridget Sloan have yet to compete.
• Wieber will be on this team despite not making the low score team. She has one fall on beam, but she has competed it more than anyone else who was put in a beam lineup, with the exception of Kyla Ross.
• Sarah Finnegan is the wild card. I’d really love to see her in London, despite the inexperience. Let’s see if she competes the Amanar next week.

Final Thoughts

• I won’t be able to update this after day 1 of trials because I won’t have a computer, so this really is it! Look for a few tweets after day 1, at the most. There might be nothing.
• This time we have Jordyn Wieber, Gabrielle Douglas and Alexandra Raisman on all four teams. Surprise, surprise! Kyla Ross is on all of the teams that factor in execution, which is a pretty important. Anna Li is on the two teams that her inconsistency prior to nationals don’t effect. McKayla Maroney only made one of these teams, but it’s the most important one. Alicia Sacramone made the low scores team, but she hasn’t had as many competitions as the other girls. Sarah Finnegan took Kyla Ross’s spot on the difficulty scores team, but is looking like a longshot to make it to London.
• I’d say our locks are Wieber, Douglas and Raisman. Ross too, probably. I don’t see anyone else stepping up for bars/beam at this point.
• Maroney probably gets the 5th spot, but it gets tricky if she is not fully recovered. I can see either Li or one of the alternates listed below taking her place.
• My team at the moment is Wieber, Douglas, Raisman, Ross and Maroney. My alternates are three of Price, Sacramone, Sloan and Finnegan.
• A different girl tops the all around ranking with high, low and average scores, and it is exactly who you would expect. Douglas has the highest high along with the highest difficulty, closely followed by Wieber, who has the highest averages. Aly “I haven’t fallen this year” Raisman has the highest low scores.
• Looking at the high scores, there are two 62s and two 61s. That’s a very impressive statistic.

There is a chance that there is a mistake or two in the highest scoring teams. I did not actually add up scores for every single combination, which would have taken forever, I found all of the gymnasts with top 3 scores, then deleted one name at a time to see whose scores were the least necessary. If you find a flaw here, please feel free to let me know.