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USA 2012 Scores, Videos and Numerically Determined Teams

April 1, 2012
by

UPDATED WITH US NATIONALS SCORES

The US team is deeper than ever this year, and it will be very interesting to see who ends up going to London for the Olympics. There have been three international events that Team USA has competed at this year, The American Cup, Pacific Rim and Jesolo. Next up are the Classic, Nationals and Trials, at which the team will be determined.

This page shows a) all of the scores of the US olympic trials qualifier from 2012, b) their high, low and average scores, c) their highest difficulty scores and d) in all scenarios, the best combination of the scores for 3 up-3 count. I will try to keep it updated until the second day of trials, when my speculation becomes completely pointless.

USA 2012 Scores and Video Links

Name Competition Vault Bars Beam Floor All Around
Kennedy Baker Nationals 2 14.800 14.750 12.850 14.000 56.400
Nationals 1 14.650 14.850 14.150 14.400 58.050
Classics 13.900 14.600 14.350 13.950 56.800
Am. Classic 14.750 13.250 13.900 14.300 56.200
Rebecca Bross Nationals 2 15.200 13.700 28.900
Nationals 1 15.200 13.550 28.750
Classics 15.300 13.200 28.500
Jesolo 13.950 14.150 28.100
Gabrielle Douglas Nationals 2 15.800 15.850 14.100 15.300 61.050
Nationals 1 15.350 15.450 14.800 15.050 60.650
Classics 15.700 14.400 14.850 44.950
American Cup 15.866 15.633 15.100 14.700 61.299
Pac Rim AA 13.950 15.500 13.150 42.600
Pac Rim EF 15.150 15.150
Brenna Dowell Nationals 2 14.700 13.950 13.900 14.350 56.900
Nationals 1 14.250 14.100 13.700 13.650 55.700
Jesolo 14.650 14.600 13.800 13.600 56.650
Sarah Finnegan Nationals 2 14.900 13.350 15.050 15.150 58.450
Nationals 1 15.000 14.000 15.350 14.800 59.150
Classics 14.100 14.900 15.200 44.200
Jesolo 14.900 14.150 15.000 14.600 58.650
Anna Li Nationals 2 15.550 13.650 29.200
Nationals 1 15.150 11.950 27.100
Classics 13.600 14.150 13.900 11.850 53.500
Nastia Liukin Nationals 2 13.650 14.100 27.750
Nationals 1 13.150 15.100 28.250
Classics 14.900 14.900
McKayla Maroney Nationals 1 16.150 13.400 14.550 14.600 58.700
Classics 16.100 13.800 29.900
Jesolo 16.000 13.950 14.050 13.950 57.950
Elizabeth Price Nationals 2 15.600 14.250 13.850 14.800 58.500
Nationals 1 15.800 14.950 14.300 14.550 59.600
Classics 15.650 14.800 12.250 12.750 55.450
Jesolo 15.700 14.150 12.700 14.300 56.850
Alexandra Raisman Nationals 2 15.300 14.200 15.450 15.800 60.750
Nationals 1 15.450 14.100 15.200 15.450 60.200
Classics 15.650 14.350 15.000 15.350 60.350
Jesolo 15.400 14.450 14.550 14.650 59.050
American Cup 16.100 14.333 14.966 15.433 60.832
Kyla Ross Nationals 2 15.250 15.350 15.000 14.600 60.200
Nationals 1 15.100 15.500 15.100 14.050 59.750
Classics 15.300 15.450 14.700 14.350 59.800
Jesolo 15.550 15.050 15.500 13.750 59.850
Pac Rim AA 14.850 15.250 15.000 14.100 59.200
Pac Rim EF 15.050 15.375 14.375 44.800
Alicia Sacramone Nationals 2 15.500 15.100 30.600
Nationals 1 15.450 15.200 30.650
Bridget Sloan Nationals 2 14.150 14.950 13.150 13.900 56.150
Nationals 1 13.850 15.100 13.850 13.450 56.250
Sabrina Vega Nationals 2 14.500 14.400 14.400 14.650 57.950
Nationals 1 14.100 14.250 14.200 13.950 56.500
Classics 14.100 14.000 13.450 14.850 56.400
Jordyn Wieber Nationals 2 15.900 15.050 15.050 15.250 61.250
Nationals 1 15.650 15.050 14.700 15.250 60.650
Classics 14.250 15.000 29.250
American Cup 16.100 14.833 14.966 15.133 61.032
Pac Rim AA 15.700 15.000 15.700 14.650 61.050
Pac Rim EF 13.700 15.125 28.825

High Scores

Name Vault Bars Beam Floor All Around
Kennedy Baker 14.800 14.850 14.350 14.400 58.400
Rebecca Bross 15.300 14.150 29.450
Gabrielle Douglas 15.866 15.850 15.100 15.300 62.116
Brenna Dowell 14.700 14.600 13.900 14.350 57.550
Sarah Finnegan 15.000 14.150 15.350 15.200 59.700
Anna Li 13.600 15.550 13.900 11.850 54.900
Nastia Liukin 13.650 15.100 28.750
McKayla Maroney 16.150 13.950 14.550 14.600 59.250
Elizabeth Price 15.800 14.950 14.300 14.800 59.850
Alexandra Raisman 16.100 14.450 15.450 15.800 61.800
Kyla Ross 15.550 15.500 15.500 14.600 61.150
Alicia Sacramone 15.500 15.200 30.700
Bridget Sloan 14.150 15.100 13.850 13.900 57.000
Sabrina Vega 14.500 14.400 14.400 14.850 58.150
Jordyn Wieber 16.100 15.050 15.700 15.250 62.100

Highest Scoring Team- High Scores

Name Vault Bars Beam Floor Total
Gabrielle Douglas 15.866 15.850 15.300 47.016
Anna Li 15.550 15.550
Alexandra Raisman 16.100 15.450 15.800 47.350
Kyla Ross 15.500 15.500 31.000
Jordyn Wieber 16.100 15.700 15.250 47.050
Total 48.066 46.900 46.650 46.350 187.966

Previous team (prior to US Nationals): Gabrielle Douglas, Sarah Finnegan, Alexandra Raisman, Kyla Ross and Jordyn Wieber

Previous team (prior to US Classic): Jordyn Wieber, Kyla Ross, Alexandra Raisman, Gabrielle Douglas and McKayla Maroney

Average Scores

Name Vault Bars Beam Floor All Around
Kennedy Baker 14.525 14.363 13.813 14.163 56.863
Rebecca Bross 14.913 13.650 28.563
Gabrielle Douglas 15.242 15.547 14.310 14.975 60.074
Brenna Dowell 14.533 14.217 13.800 13.867 56.417
Sarah Finnegan 14.933 13.900 15.075 14.938 58.846
Anna Li 13.600 14.950 13.167 11.850 53.567
Nastia Liukin 13.400 14.700 28.100
McKayla Maroney 16.083 13.675 14.133 14.275 58.167
Elizabeth Price 15.688 14.538 13.275 14.100 57.600
Alexandra Raisman 15.580 14.287 15.033 15.337 60.236
Kyla Ross 15.210 15.275 15.113 14.204 59.802
Alicia Sacramone 15.475 15.150 30.625
Bridget Sloan 14.000 15.025 13.500 13.675 56.200
Sabrina Vega 14.233 14.217 14.017 14.483 56.950
Jordyn Wieber 15.838 14.837 14.853 15.082 60.608

Highest Scoring Team- Average Scores

Name Vault Bars Beam Floor Total
Jordyn Wieber 15.838 14.837 14.853 15.082 60.608
Gabrielle Douglas 15.547 14.975 30.522
Kyla Ross 15.275 15.113 30.388
McKayla Maroney 16.083 16.083
Alexandra Raisman 15.580 15.033 15.337 45.950
47.501 45.659 44.998 45.393 183.551

This team has not changed since Jesolo, Pac Rim and the American Cup.

Low Scores

Name Vault Bars Beam Floor All Around
Kennedy Baker 13.900 13.250 12.850 13.950 53.950
Rebecca Bross 13.950 13.200 27.150
Gabrielle Douglas 13.950 15.150 13.150 14.700 56.950
Brenna Dowell 14.250 13.950 13.700 13.600 55.500
Sarah Finnegan 14.900 13.350 14.900 14.600 57.750
Anna Li 13.600 14.150 11.950 11.850 51.550
Nastia Liukin 13.150 14.100 27.250
McKayla Maroney 16.000 13.400 13.800 13.950 57.150
Elizabeth Price 15.600 14.150 12.250 12.750 54.750
Alexandra Raisman 15.300 14.100 14.550 14.650 58.600
Kyla Ross 14.850 15.050 14.700 13.750 58.350
Alicia Sacramone 15.450 15.100 30.550
Bridget Sloan 13.850 14.950 13.150 13.450 55.400
Sabrina Vega 14.100 14.000 13.450 13.950 55.500
Jordyn Wieber 15.650 14.250 13.700 14.650 58.250

Highest Scoring Team- Low Scores

Name Vault Bars Beam Floor Total
Jordyn Wieber 15.650 14.250 14.650 44.550
Gabrielle Douglas 15.150 14.700 29.850
Kyla Ross 15.050 14.700 29.750
Alexandra Raisman 15.300 14.550 14.650 44.500
Alicia Sacramone 15.450 15.100 30.550
46.400 44.450 44.350 44.000 179.200

Previous team (prior to US Nationals): Sarah Finnegan, Gabrielle Douglas, McKayla Maroney, Alexandra Raisman and Kyla Ross

Previous team (prior to US Classic): Sarah Finnegan, McKayla Maroney, Alexandra Raisman, Kyla Ross and Jordyn Wieber

Difficulty Scores

Name Vault Bars Beam Floor All Around
Rebecca Bross 6.5 6.4 12.9
Gabrielle Douglas 6.5 6.6 6.5 6.1 25.7
Brenna Dowell 5.8 5.9 5.8 5.8 23.3
Sarah Finnegan 5.8 5.8 6.9 6.3 24.8
McKayla Maroney 6.5 5.8 5.9 6 24.2
Elizabeth Price 6.5 6.2 5.8 6 24.5
Alexandra Raisman 6.5 5.9 6.5 6.5 25.4
Kyla Ross 6.5 6.4 6.2 5.6 24.7
Jordyn Wieber 6.5 6.3 6.4 6.1 25.3
Kennedy Baker 5.8 6.4 6 5.9 24.1
Sabrina Vega 5.3 5.9 6 6 23.2
Anna Li 5 6.9 5.6 4.4 21.9
Nastia Liukin 5.8 6.1 11.9
Bridget Sloan 5 6.4 5.8 5.6 22.8
Alicia Sacramone 6.3 6.2 12.5

Highest Scoring Team- Difficulty Scores

Name Vault Bars Beam Floot All Around
Gabrielle Douglas 6.5 6.6 6.5 19.6
Sarah Finnegan 6.9 6.3 13.2
Alexandra Raisman 6.5 6.5 6.5 19.5
Jordyn Wieber 6.5 6.3 6.1 18.9
Anna Li 6.9 6.9
Total 19.5 19.8 19.9 18.9 78.1

Previous Teams (prior to US Nationals): Rebecca Bross (or Anna Li), Gabrielle Douglas, Sarah Finnegan, Alexandra Raisman and Jordyn Wieber or Kyla Ross

Previous team (prior to US Classic): Jordyn Wieber, Kyla Ross, Alexandra Raisman, Sarah Finnegan and Gabrielle Douglas

Some Thoughts (4/1/12)

  • Jordyn Wieber, Kyla Ross and Alexandra Raisman made all four teams
  • Wieber, Ross, Raisman and Douglas are the only gymnasts to have more than one assignment, so they are the only gymnasts who really have high, average and low scores.
  • The top three on each event made the first team
  • The last spot on the second team was determined between Sarah Finnegan and McKayla Maroney, who both had one top three finish. Maroney ended up contributing more. Additionally, I believe that Maroney is far more likely to have an average score of 16 on vault than Finnegan is to have an average score of 15 on beam at the end of the classics, nationals and trials.
  • Gabrielle Douglas had two first place finishes with her lowest scores (bars, which she has competed three times and floor, which she has only competed once), but deleting her scores lead to a higher team total than deleting Finnegan’s scores. This is probably because Douglas, Wieber and Maroney all have sub-14 lows on beam.
  • I would never actually use Sarah Finnegan on beam in team finals ahead of Jordyn Wieber unless Wieber has multiple falls at classics, nationals and trials.
  • The team using all of the gymnast’s LOW scores has a higher score than the US world team did last year in team finals. Of course, this is the best of the low scores, so these are routines with no falls.
  • Maroney did not make the last team because 7 girls have the 6.5 Amanar, but I still believe that she is the only one who can consistently get a 16+ for it, kind of like how Zamarripa goes 9.9 for a bad vault.
  • Ross’ start values don’t really stand out, especially on beam, but her execution gets her onto the team.
  • National team members who have yet to compete, and if applicable, where they could possibly be useful: Bridgette Caquatto (UB), Mackenzie Caquatto (UB), Jessie DeZiel, Brandie Jay, Amanda Jetter, Shawn Johnson (Maybe any event, unsure), Anna Li (UB), Nastia Liukin (UB/BB), Grace McLaughlin, Chellsie Memmel (UB/BB), Hallie Mossett, Alicia Sacramone (VT/BB/FX), Bridget Sloan (maybe UB/FX?), Sabrina Vega (anywhere but vault as a back-up), McKenzie Wofford (theoretically UB/BB), Kennedy Baker (maybe UB/BB) and Kiana Winston.

More Thoughts (6/4/12)

  • Kyla Ross, Gabrielle Douglas and Alexandra Raisman each made all of the teams. Jordyn Wieber made all of the teams except for the team with low scores. Sarah Finnegan made all of the teams except for the team using average scores. McKayla Maroney two teams, average scores and low scores. Rebecca Bross made only the team for difficulty scores.
  • I’ll go out on a limb and say that unless there are drastic changes from now until trials, we will probably see Ross, Douglas, Raisman and Wieber at the Olympics. The question really is if Marta is willing to use Wieber on bars in team finals. At this point, she has the third highest average, so despite all of her mistakes, it’s not like she’s a gigantic risk.
  • Gabrielle Douglas is likely to fill the third spot on floor in team finals if Finnegan isn’t on the team. In fact, after bars, I’d say that floor is the most likely event that we will see her on in team finals.
  • Kyla Ross has a great shot at making the team, but it is looking like she will only be contributing on bars and beam in team finals, unless she can learn to land an Amanar without flying off the mat. Prelims placements will depend on who else makes the team.
  • Rebecca Bross doesn’t have a great shot. She can’t hit beam, is 50/50 on bars in major meets this year, and when she hits bars, she’s scoring lower than Ross and Douglas.
  • Liukin needs bars to make the team, but everyone except for Tim Dagget already knew that.
  • Alicia Sacramone and Bridget Sloan have yet to compete.
  • Wieber will be on this team despite not making the low score team. She has one fall on beam, but she has competed it more than anyone else who was put in a beam lineup, with the exception of Kyla Ross.
  • Sarah Finnegan is the wild card. I’d really love to see her in London, despite the inexperience. Let’s see if she competes the Amanar next week.

Final Thoughts

  • I won’t be able to update this after day 1 of trials because I won’t have a computer, so this really is it! Look for a few tweets after day 1, at the most. There might be nothing.
  • This time we have Jordyn Wieber, Gabrielle Douglas and Alexandra Raisman on all four teams. Surprise, surprise! Kyla Ross is on all of the teams that factor in execution, which is a pretty important. Anna Li is on the two teams that her inconsistency prior to nationals don’t effect. McKayla Maroney only made one of these teams, but it’s the most important one. Alicia Sacramone made the low scores team, but she hasn’t had as many competitions as the other girls. Sarah Finnegan took Kyla Ross’s spot on the difficulty scores team, but is looking like a longshot to make it to London.
  • I’d say our locks are Wieber, Douglas and Raisman. Ross too, probably. I don’t see anyone else stepping up for bars/beam at this point.
  • Maroney probably gets the 5th spot, but it gets tricky if she is not fully recovered. I can see either Li or one of the alternates listed below taking her place.
  • My team at the moment is Wieber, Douglas, Raisman, Ross and Maroney. My alternates are three of Price, Sacramone, Sloan and Finnegan.
  • A different girl tops the all around ranking with high, low and average scores, and it is exactly who you would expect. Douglas has the highest high along with the highest difficulty, closely followed by Wieber, who has the highest averages. Aly “I haven’t fallen this year” Raisman has the highest low scores.
  • Looking at the high scores, there are two 62s and two 61s. That’s a very impressive statistic.

There is a chance that there is a mistake or two in the highest scoring teams. I did not actually add up scores for every single combination, which would have taken forever, I found all of the gymnasts with top 3 scores, then deleted one name at a time to see whose scores were the least necessary. If you find a flaw here, please feel free to let me know.

10 Comments leave one →
  1. Leigh Fish permalink
    April 1, 2012 9:34 PM

    Thank you for this. Now I have proof that I’m not the only numbers obsessed gymnastics fan out there! I’ve got this same thing going on. A lot can happen at Classics, VISA’s, and Trials. I can’t decide if I think it’ll all become more clear or just more difficult.

    • April 1, 2012 9:53 PM

      I think that adding more bars specialists, etc. into the list is going to make it more difficult, but you never know. Right now a core of Jordyn, Aly, Gabby and Kyla looks likely with one additional specialist. While I’d love McKayla to go, it seems kind of silly to bring her when there are already 4 Amanars on the team.

      • Kait permalink
        April 2, 2012 12:11 AM

        But a score of 16 will out score our 4th best amanar by .5-.7 do we have a bar specialist that can add more than that to the team total?

        • April 2, 2012 1:37 PM

          I think that depends on a few things. If Aly and McKayla are on the same team, we are obviously counting on Jordyn for bars, and that’s risky. If she’s hitting her current routine, which seems to be all that she is capable of, she’s probably in the 14.9-15.0 range. If Bross starts hitting bars, I think that she should be scoring around 15.5. I don’t know if I trust either of them at the moment, though. But I also don’t trust anyone’s Amanars but McKayla’s and Jordyn’s, for obvious reasons. And maybe Price’s, but she probably won’t be a factor.

  2. April 1, 2012 10:22 PM

    As an Engineer, this is amazing! Can’t wait to see how it changes with classics, visas, and trials.
    I wish that this was exactly how the Olympic Team was picked and there was no politics involved.

  3. sstth permalink
    April 2, 2012 4:59 PM

    wow, i really like how you did this, i feel it really put’s things into perspective! I wasn’t surprised that jordyn, kayla and aly made all four teams. I also think it’s interesting that in the lowest scores categories, Aly raisman was used on all four events it’s shows in my opinion she is the most consistent gymnast. I wonder if USAG does something like this during the selection process?

  4. Ideas permalink
    April 7, 2012 4:09 PM

    I was really surprised not to see Mckayla Maroney at the 2012 Pacific Rim. I would really like her to make it to the olympics. She is current world vault champion and I recently heard she has upgraded her second vault so her combined score could be closer to 16.000. She also has an incredible floor routine and although she has to clean it up with a little, with time I am positive she can. If I had to name the team right now I would say…
    1) Weiber (AA)
    2) Gabrielle (bars, vault, and maybe more)
    3) McKayla (vault and floor)
    4) Raisman (beam and floor)
    5) Anna Li or Kyla Ross

    I know I didn’t fill all the spots but those are just some ideas. What I don’t know is who is going to be the second AA competitor. Gabrielle cannot do beam under pressure, Raisman CANNOT do bars, and I don’t think Anna or Kyla are true AA material or at least not on a world stage like the olympics. The only option left is McKayla. I am a huge fan of her but she would have to clean up her routines a lot to even qualify. Looks like Marta has her work cut out for her.

    • Anonymous permalink
      April 12, 2012 11:23 AM

      Youre forgetting all about Rebecca!!!!!! She will definately show up

  5. Shawn permalink
    April 8, 2012 10:42 AM

    Wow…….This was awesome…..this helped to figure who I think is gonna make the team…..a gold medal winning team would consist of Jordyn, Gabby, Aly, Kyla, and Rebecca. Please keep in mind that Gabby’s bars should have 6.9 dscore come classics. Rebecca bars and beam is actually out of 6.5 wen she hits……wen I did the calculations Rebecca and Aly all around dscores are very similar…Sarah Finnegan and Mckayla are alternates…..this is the team im rooting for

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  1. 2012 United States Olympic Trials Preview « Between the Olympics

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